Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.