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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
New England Revolution

Cincinnati
1 - 0
New England

Santos (65')
Denkey (14'), Orellano (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Polster (52'), Miller (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New England Revolution

Buoyed by their hard-fought win over New York Red Bulls, New England Revolution will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, Cincinnati have been tough to crack on home turf this season and we are backing them to come away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for New England Revolution has a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.47%), while for a New England Revolution win it is 1-2 (5.03%).

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
61.08% (0.995 1) 20.49% (-0.459 -0.46) 18.42% (-0.545 -0.55)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.586 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (1.249 1.25)38.92% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (1.3 1.3)61.24% (-1.308 -1.31)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (0.67400000000001 0.67)12.31% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (1.399 1.4)38.11% (-1.407 -1.41)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.161 0.16)34.59% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.172 0.17)71.31% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 61.09%
    New England Revolution 18.42%
    Draw 20.49%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.151 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.111 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 18.42%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs New England

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
New England Revolution
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
New England
Rodrigo Asad (65')
Nwobodo (34'), Powell (45+3'), Kubo (50'), Yedlin (54'), Orellano (63')
Nwobodo (69')
Vrioni (21', 41')
Porter (35'), Vrioni (81')
Mar 17, 2024 6pm
New England
1-2
Cincinnati
Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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