

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 62.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 62.07% ( | 18.85% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.23% ( | 29.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.09% ( | 50.91% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( | 9.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.5% ( | 31.5% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( | 28.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.85% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 4-1 @ 4.39% ( 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 4-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.11% Total : 62.07% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 4.08% Total : 19.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | DC United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Toronto | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Portland TimbersPortland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Dallas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | St Louis City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| 13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 2 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
