Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 3
Bayern

Giannoulis (30')
Zesiger (32'), Claude-Maurice (45+1'), Gouweleeuw (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Musiala (42'), Kane (60'), Matsima (90+3' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.02% ( 0.22)	19.05% ( -0.01)	65.93% ( -0.2)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 15.02%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.05%	0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.37% Total : 65.92%

Bundesliga

Augsburg1 - 3Bayern

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Bayern Munich

Data Analysis

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

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Augsburg
1 - 3
Bayern