Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 3
Bayern

Giannoulis (30')
Zesiger (32'), Claude-Maurice (45+1'), Gouweleeuw (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Musiala (42'), Kane (60'), Matsima (90+3' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.02% ( 0.22)	19.05% ( -0.01)	65.93% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.42% (

0.53)

38.58% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.12% (

0.56)

60.88% (

-0.55)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

0.63)

38.42% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

0.59)

75.17% (

-0.59)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.09% (

0.1)

10.91% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.92% (

0.22)

35.08% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 15.02%

Bayern Munich 65.92%

Draw 19.05%

Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 15.02%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.05%	0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.37% Total : 65.92%