MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:21:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Bayern logo

Augsburg
1 - 3
Bayern

Giannoulis (30')
Zesiger (32'), Claude-Maurice (45+1'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Zesiger (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Musiala (42'), Kane (60'), Matsima (90+3' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Bayern Munich

Bayern may encounter difficulties on Friday given they are set to be without a number of key players in defence and midfield. While Augsburg are not likely to pose a significant threat in the final third compared to their visitors, their strong defence could help them earn a point against the Bavarians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
15.02% (0.218 0.22) 19.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 65.93% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.86% (0.619 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.532 0.53)38.58% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.559 0.56)60.88% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (0.628 0.63)38.42% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (0.594 0.59)75.17% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.09% (0.101 0.1)10.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.92% (0.218 0.22)35.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 15.02%
    Bayern Munich 65.92%
    Draw 19.05%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.92% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 15.02%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.05%
0-2 @ 10.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 7.6% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.27% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.03% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.047 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 65.92%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

Augsburg
13.8%
Draw
20.0%
Bayern Munich
66.2%
145
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
3-0
Augsburg
Kane (63' pen., 90+3' pen., 90+5')
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Augsburg
2-3
Bayern
Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')
Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-1
Augsburg
Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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