Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
St Pauli

Kane (17'), Sane (53', 71')
Guerreiro (13'), Olise (45+3'), Palhinha (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saad (27'), Ritzka (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, March 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	St Pauli
78.9% ( 0.34)	12.86% ( -0.08)	8.24% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.2% (

-0.67)

26.8% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.76% (

-0.85)

47.24% (

0.84)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.64% (

-0.08)

5.35% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.97% (

-0.22)

21.03% (

0.22)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.44% (

-1.13)

41.56% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.95% (

-1.01)

78.05% (

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 78.9%

St Pauli 8.24%

Draw 12.86%

Bayern Munich	Draw	St Pauli
2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) Other @ 5.34% Total : 78.9%	1-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.86%	1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 8.24%

How you voted: Bayern vs St Pauli

Bayern Munich

83.8%

Draw

11.8%

St Pauli

4.4%

Head to Head

Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm

Gameweek 10

St Pauli

0-1

Bayern

Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (65'), Saliakas (66')

Musiala (22')
Min-jae (66'), Laimer (90+2')

> Preview

Form Guide

Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern

B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern

Bayern 2-3 VfL Bochum

Bayern 3-0 B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern

Bayern 4-0 Frankfurt

St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim

Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund

Mainz 2-0 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-1 Freiburg

RB Leipzig 2-0 St Pauli

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table