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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
St Pauli

Kane (17'), Sane (53', 71')
Guerreiro (13'), Olise (45+3'), Palhinha (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saad (27'), Ritzka (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, March 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 1-1 St Pauli

Bayern could encounter more difficulties in defence considering the injuries to their backline, and they may concede first on Saturday. It would be surprising if St Pauli managed to score more than once given their subpar performances in front of goal recently, but they will take confidence from their excellent performance last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSt Pauli
78.9% (0.34099999999999 0.34) 12.86% (-0.077 -0.08) 8.24% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 55.31% (-1.111 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)26.8% (0.66 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)47.24% (0.841 0.84)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)5.35% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.97% (-0.224 -0.22)21.03% (0.216 0.22)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-1.128 -1.13)41.56% (1.119 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-1.006 -1.01)78.05% (0.997 1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.9%
    St Pauli 8.24%
    Draw 12.86%
Bayern MunichDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.299 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 8.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.81% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.99% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 78.9%
1-1 @ 5.72% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 12.86%
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: Bayern vs St Pauli

Bayern Munich
83.8%
Draw
11.8%
St Pauli
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
St Pauli
0-1
Bayern

Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (65'), Saliakas (66')
Musiala (22')
Min-jae (66'), Laimer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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