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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Dortmund logo

St Pauli
0 - 2
Dortmund


Ceesay (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (50'), Adeyemi (58')
Schlotterbeck (13'), Adeyemi (82'), Adeyemi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund will be full of confidence following their impressive victory against Union, and they should be considered favourites. Additionally, though St Pauli did create opportunities last time out, they have struggled to convert their chances in recent games, and they could find it difficult to get on the scoresheet on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result
St PauliDrawBorussia Dortmund
28.6% (0.25 0.25) 24.9% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 46.5% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)47.79% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)69.98% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (0.154 0.15)30.58% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (0.182 0.18)66.81% (-0.18499999999999 -0.18)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)20.6% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.24 -0.24)53.14% (0.237 0.24)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 28.6%
    Borussia Dortmund 46.5%
    Draw 24.9%
St PauliDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.5%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Dortmund

St Pauli
11.1%
Draw
6.3%
Borussia Dortmund
82.5%
63
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
St Pauli
Bensebaini (43'), Guirassy (83')
Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Brandt (77')
Smith (78')
Smith (40')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
St Pauli
2-1
Dortmund
Amenyido (4'), Witsel (40' og.)
Braut Haaland (58' pen.)
Oct 28, 2014 7.30pm
Second Round
St Pauli
0-3
Dortmund

Gonther (84'), Maier (85')
Immobile (33'), Reus (44'), Kagawa (86')
Kehl (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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