
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 28.6% ( | 24.9% ( | 46.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( | 47.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( | 69.98% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( | 30.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.19% ( | 66.81% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( | 20.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.85% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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