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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 56.92% (  0.17) | 20.48% (  -0.07) | 22.59% (  -0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 64.49% (  0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.28% (  0.23) | 32.71% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.6% (  0.27) | 54.39% (  -0.27) | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.47% (  0.12) | 11.53% (  -0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.57% (  0.26) | 36.43% (  -0.26) | 
| Werder Bremen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.9% (  0.05) | 27.1% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.52% (  0.07) | 62.48% (  -0.07) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 2-1 @ 9.52% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.86% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 6.75% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 4.48% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 3.7% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 2.84% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 2.42% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.6% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% (  0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% (  0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 8.81% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.12% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.95% (  0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.75% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.08% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.5% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 22.59% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
