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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Guirassy (28'), Friedl (51' og.)
Ryerson (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bittencourt (65'), Ducksch (72')
Bittencourt (63'), Njinmah (79'), Stage (87'), Friedl (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
56.92% (0.171 0.17)20.48% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)22.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.28% (0.235 0.23)32.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.6% (0.269 0.27)54.39% (-0.271 -0.27)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.122 0.12)11.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.57% (0.263 0.26)36.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.92%
    Werder Bremen 22.59%
    Draw 20.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
16.2%
Werder Bremen
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
0-0
Dortmund
Weiser (41'), Friedl (59')
Anton (29'), Sule (34'), Ryerson (48'), Schlotterbeck (53'), Bensebaini (85'), Gross (90+1')
Schlotterbeck (73')
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')
Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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