

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 27.5% ( | 21.66% ( | 50.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.55% ( | 33.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.76% | 55.23% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( | 23.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.8% ( | 58.19% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( | 13.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.37% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 4.64% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 1-3 @ 6.17% 2-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 2-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 3-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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