MX23RW : Friday, August 16 03:49:12| >> :60:1202:1202:
Dortmund logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Aston Villa logo

Dortmund
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Can (33' pen.), Brandt (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Borussia Dortmund and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Aston Villa

As Aston Villa try to bed in several new squad members - plus some big stars who have been resting after their international exploits - they may still need time to find the rhythm that took them to fourth place in the Premier League last season. Dortmund have experienced plenty of upheaval too, but home advantage should help the German giants win their final warm-up fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
48.16% (-0.214 -0.21) 21.85% (0.113 0.11) 29.98% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 66.96% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.36% (-0.518 -0.52)32.63% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.69% (-0.603 -0.6)54.3% (0.602 0.6)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)14.12% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)41.76% (0.509 0.51)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.205 -0.2)22.03% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.307 -0.31)55.35% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 48.16%
    Aston Villa 29.98%
    Draw 21.85%
Borussia DortmundDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.98%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Aston Villa

Borussia Dortmund
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Aston Villa
38.5%
26
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
2Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
3Liverpool00000000
4Manchester CityMan City00000000
5Fulham00000000
6Everton00000000
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
8Aston Villa00000000
9Chelsea00000000
10Arsenal00000000
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000
13Leicester CityLeicester00000000
14Crystal Palace00000000
15Bournemouth00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
19Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
20Brentford00000000


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