

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 70.96% ( | 15.69% ( | 13.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.41% ( | 25.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.31% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.55% ( | 6.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.86% ( | 24.14% ( |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 4-1 @ 5.53% ( 4-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 4.61% ( 4-2 @ 3.16% ( 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 5-2 @ 1.73% ( 6-1 @ 1.38% ( 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.69% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0-1 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 13.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
| 8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
| 14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
| R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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