

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 | 
| 70.96% (  0.15) | 15.69% (  0.14) | 13.34% (  -0.29) | 
| Both teams to score 63.66% (  -1.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 74.41% (  -1.46) | 25.6% (  1.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 54.31% (  -1.92) | 45.69% (  1.93) | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.55% (  -0.31) | 6.45% (  0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.86% (  -0.88) | 24.14% (  0.88) | 
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.06% (  -1.44) | 31.95% (  1.44) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.6% (  -1.67) | 68.4% (  1.68) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 | 
| 2-1 @ 8.84% (  0.18) 3-1 @ 8.07% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 7.74% (  0.45) 3-0 @ 7.07% (  0.29) 1-0 @ 5.65% (  0.43) 4-1 @ 5.53% (  -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.85% (  0.11) 3-2 @ 4.61% (  -0.18) 4-2 @ 3.16% (  -0.18) 5-1 @ 3.03% (  -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.66% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.73% (  -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.38% (  -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.21% (  -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.2% (  -0.12) Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97% | 1-1 @ 6.45% (  0.25) 2-2 @ 5.04% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.06% (  0.19) 3-3 @ 1.75% (  -0.14) Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.69% | 1-2 @ 3.68% (  -0) 0-1 @ 2.35% (  0.13) 2-3 @ 1.92% (  -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.4% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.34% (  0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 13.35% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 | 
| 2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 | 
| 3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 | 
| 8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 | 
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 | 
| 10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 | 
| 11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 | 
| 13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 | 
| 14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 | 
| 15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 | 
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 | 
| R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 | 
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