Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
NY City5 - 1Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New England 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
23
We said: New York City FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
New York City have been in excellent form recently and head into this match having lost just one of their last six league games and riding a four-match winning streak. On the flip side, San Jose are winless in their last three and have been shipping goals in bulk on the road this season. Based on the current form of both these sides, we feel the hosts will secure all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
54.69% ( -0.02) | 22.85% ( 0.1) | 22.46% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
