Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
NY City2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: New York City FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls
The Red Bulls have shown themselves to be a quality attacking side, but we believe it will be much harder to penetrate the Pigeons' backline, which have conceded a goal or fewer in four of their last five home fixtures. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.79% ( -2.03) | 22.19% ( 0.29) | 20.02% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( 2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
