Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Bernardeschi (55'), Petretta (89')
Bernardeschi (22'), Rosted (36'), Long (53')
Bernardeschi (90+9')
Bernardeschi (22'), Rosted (36'), Long (53')
Bernardeschi (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Toronto 1-1 New York City FC
The Reds have been fairly tidy defensively at BMO Field, conceding a goal or fewer in all but one of their regular season home fixtures, and we believe they will be able to limit the Pigeons' opportunities this weekend. NYCFC are a different side away from home, though they usually can hang around in those contests, which is why we project they will be able to nab a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
44.81% ( 0.04) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.04) | 52.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( -0.04) | 73.97% ( 0.03) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0) | 23.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0) | 57.16% ( -0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.05) | 32.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.06) | 69.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 44.81%
New York City FC 29.14%
Draw 26.04%
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.14% |
How you voted: Toronto vs NY City
Toronto
70.0%Draw
10.0%New York City FC
20.0%10
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
NY City
2-1
Toronto
Marshall-Rutty (7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
NY City
Sapong (46')
Form Guide
