

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 27.33% and a draw has a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.04%).
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 52.18% ( | 20.49% ( | 27.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.24% ( | 27.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.56% ( | 48.44% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( | 11.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.3% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.09% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-3 @ 1.42% ( 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-0 @ 2.36% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 3-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
| 5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
| 6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
| 13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
| R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
| R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
