Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 28% (  0.43) | 23.66% (  0.22) | 48.34% (  -0.64) | 
| Both teams to score 58.89% (  -0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.37% (  -0.69) | 42.63% (  0.69) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.96% (  -0.69) | 65.04% (  0.69) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.64% (  -0.05) | 28.35% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.91% (  -0.06) | 64.09% (  0.06) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.19% (  -0.51) | 17.81% (  0.51) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.47% (  -0.89) | 48.53% (  0.89) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almere City | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 2-1 @ 6.92% (  0.08) 1-0 @ 6.36% (  0.18) 2-0 @ 4.01% (  0.11) 3-1 @ 2.91% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 10.98% (  0.14) 2-2 @ 5.97% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.05% (  0.15) 3-3 @ 1.44% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.48% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.71% (  0.12) 0-2 @ 7.52% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.45% (  -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.32% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.44% (  -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.35% (  -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.87% (  -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 48.34% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 62 | 22 | 40 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 56 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 | 
| 9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
