Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City | 
| 60.68% (  -0.1) | 20.47% (  0.01) | 18.84% (  0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 58.23% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.86% (  0.07) | 38.13% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.59% (  0.08) | 60.4% (  -0.08) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.81% (  -0.01) | 12.18% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.16% (  -0.01) | 37.83% (  0.01) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.31% (  0.13) | 33.68% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.66% (  0.14) | 70.33% (  -0.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City | 
| 2-1 @ 9.89% (  -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% (  -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.94% (  -0) 3-0 @ 6.38% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% (  -0) 4-0 @ 3.36% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.54% (  -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% (  -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.4% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 4.1% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% (  0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.12% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% (  0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 62 | 22 | 40 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 56 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 | 
| 9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
