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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
60.68% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() | 18.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% (![]() | 38.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.59% (![]() | 60.4% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% (![]() | 37.83% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% (![]() | 33.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% (![]() | 70.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.12% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 62 | 22 | 40 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 56 |
5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |