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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Almere City

van Amersfoort (15', 70'), van Beek (40')
Haye (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 3-1 Almere City

Heerenveen have been prolific in front of their home supporters recently, scoring 11 goals in their last three matches at Abe Lenstra Stadion, and we expect that theme to continue on Friday. Almere's confidence would have been severely knocked by the loss to Hercales last time out, and we cannot envisage them recovering in time to earn a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
60.68% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.84% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.071999999999996 0.07)38.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)60.4% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)12.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.012 -0.01)37.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.12899999999999 0.13)33.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.143 0.14)70.33% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 60.68%
    Almere City 18.84%
    Draw 20.47%
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Almere City

Heerenveen
71.0%
Draw
29.0%
Almere City
0.0%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax29234262224073
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht29168553421156
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Heracles29811103648-1235
10Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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