MX23RW : Monday, March 3 06:08:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heerenveen

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen

 Nothing looks likely to stop AZ in their current form, and this should be another routine success before looking ahead to the visit of Aston Villa. Despite ending their five-game losing run before the break, Heerenveen are unlikely to spring a big surprise and could well slip further down the table come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
73.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 16.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 10.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 73.33%
    Heerenveen 10.64%
    Draw 16.02%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 73.33%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.02%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Van Hooijdonk (5')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax24193252183460
2PSV EindhovenPSV24164473294452
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2413744336746
4Feyenoord24128448272144
5FC Twente24127549311843
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2411584338538
8Heerenveen2486103043-1330
9Fortuna SittardSittard2485113142-1129
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11Heracles246993245-1327
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2483132642-1627
13NECNijmegen2475123434026
14PEC Zwolle2467112939-1025
15Willem II2466122638-1224
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2458112333-1023
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2435161548-3314
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!