

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 69.61% (  0.04) | 17.47% (  -0.03) | 12.92% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 54.76% (  0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.12% (  0.13) | 35.88% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.03% (  0.14) | 57.97% (  -0.14) | 
| Feyenoord Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.73% (  0.05) | 9.27% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.67% (  0.11) | 31.33% (  -0.1) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.35% (  0.07) | 39.64% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.67% (  0.06) | 76.32% (  -0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 2-0 @ 10.39% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% (  -0) 1-0 @ 8.74% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.24% (  -0) 3-1 @ 7.62% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 4.53% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 2.1% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1% (  0.01) 6-0 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.09% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 3.68% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% (  0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 3.74% (  -0) 0-1 @ 3.4% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.15% (  0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.92% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 | 
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 | 
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
