Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 56.49% ( | 22.4% ( | 21.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( | 43.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( | 66.1% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( | 15.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.01% ( | 43.99% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( | 34.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.63% ( | 71.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
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