

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 62.67% (  -1.01) | 20.27% (  0.94) | 17.06% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 55.34% (  -3.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.75% (  -4.34) | 40.24% (  4.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.38% (  -4.62) | 62.61% (  4.62) | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.72% (  -1.56) | 12.27% (  1.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.97% (  -3.36) | 38.02% (  3.36) | 
| FC Volendam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.08% (  -2.58) | 36.91% (  2.58) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.29% (  -2.66) | 73.7% (  2.66) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam | 
| 2-0 @ 9.97% (  0.79) 2-1 @ 9.93% (  0.12) 1-0 @ 9.51% (  1.28) 3-0 @ 6.97% (  0.14) 3-1 @ 6.95% (  -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.66% (  -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.64% (  -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.46% (  -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.82% (  -0.36) 5-0 @ 1.53% (  -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.53% (  -0.29) Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (  0.68) 2-2 @ 4.95% (  -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.53% (  0.85) 3-3 @ 1.15% (  -0.24) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.72% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 4.52% (  0.58) 0-2 @ 2.25% (  0.15) 2-3 @ 1.64% (  -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.57% (  -0.11) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.06% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
