Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 69.22% ( | 18.19% ( | 12.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( | 40.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% ( | 62.58% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( | 10.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.78% ( | 34.22% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( | 42.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.72% ( | 79.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 5-0 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.21% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.19% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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