

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk | 
| 48.4% ( | 24.56% ( | 27.04% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.7% ( | 47.3% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.47% ( | 69.53% ( | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.4% ( | 19.6% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.46% ( | 51.54% ( | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.51% ( | 31.49% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.12% ( | 67.88% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk | 
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.39%  | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.56%  | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.04%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
