Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.