Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Parma |
| 32.1% ( | 27.15% ( | 40.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% ( | 55.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% ( | 76.7% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( | 32.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( | 68.52% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( | 26.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( | 62.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.1% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.74% |