MX23RW : Monday, April 28 14:46:20| >> :600:238858:238858:
Bologna logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Empoli logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Empoli

Fabbian (7'), Dallinga (86')
Orsolini (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kovalenko (33')
De Sciglio (19'), Marianucci (20'), Sambia (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia semi-final between Bologna and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Empoli (Bologna win 5-0 on aggregate)

There is very little chance of a second-leg fightback from Empoli, who have clearly signalled their intent to prioritise Serie A survival. Bologna, meanwhile, will aim to get the job done with the minimum of fuss, as they save energy for the final phase of their top-four push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawEmpoli
57.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (-0.012 -0.01)54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)75.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)49.79% (0.012 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 57.67%
    Empoli 18.3%
    Draw 24.01%
BolognaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 0.94%
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.67%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Bologna vs Empoli

Bologna
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Empoli
6.1%
66
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Empoli
0-3
Bologna
Orsolini (23'), Dallinga (29', 51')
Jan 25, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Empoli
1-1
Bologna
Colombo (24')
Henderson (36'), Grassi (40'), Pezzella (78')
Dominguez (44')
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
1-1
Empoli
Fabbian (2')
Gyasi (3')
Pezzella (55'), Henderson (90+4'), Vasquez (90+5')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Empoli
0-1
Bologna

Luperto (28'), Pezzella (30'), Maleh (90+6')
Fabbian (90+4')
Freuler (90+7')
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
Orsolini (21', 66', 90+2')
Corazza (44'), El Azzouzi (58')

Cacace (10'), Walukiewicz (39'), Ranocchia (45+3'), Cancellieri (81')
rhs 2.0
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