Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Empoli |
| 50.61% ( | 25.35% ( | 24.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( | 52.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( | 74.51% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% ( | 37.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% ( | 73.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.03% |