Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Como | 
| 58.13% (  -0.46) | 22.51% (  0.26) | 19.36% (  0.2) | 
| Both teams to score 52.21% (  -0.5) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.46% (  -0.83) | 46.54% (  0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.18% (  -0.79) | 68.82% (  0.78) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.29% (  -0.44) | 15.71% (  0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.21% (  -0.81) | 44.79% (  0.81) | 
| Como Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.95% (  -0.27) | 38.05% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.18% (  -0.26) | 74.82% (  0.26) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fiorentina | Draw | Como | 
| 1-0 @ 11.06% (  0.22) 2-0 @ 10.23% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.32% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.1% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.95% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.92% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.82% (  -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.36% (  -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.08% (  -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.05% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.69% (  0.14) 0-0 @ 5.98% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 4.78% (  -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.78% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 5.17% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 2.79% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 1.66% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.36% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 | 
| 5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 | 
| 6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 | 
| 10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 | 
| 11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 
| 16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 | 
| R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
