Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Genoa

Kean (9'), Gudmundsson (30')
Beltran (16'), Folorunsho (49'), Comuzzo (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

De Winter (55')
De Winter (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Monza
Monday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
67.51% ( -0.46)	19.78% ( 0.11)	12.7% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93% (

0.35)

47.07% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.69% (

0.32)

69.31% (

-0.32)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0.03)

12.96% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.55% (

-0.06)

39.45% (

0.06)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

0.8)

47.16% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39% (

0.59)

82.61% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 67.5%

Genoa 12.7%

Draw 19.78%

Fiorentina	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 67.5%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.78%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 12.7%