Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
67.51% (![]() | 19.78% (![]() | 12.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.93% (![]() | 47.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.69% (![]() | 69.31% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% (![]() | 12.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.55% (![]() | 39.45% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.84% (![]() | 47.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.39% (![]() | 82.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 12.75% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.49% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 12.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 74 |
2 | Inter Milan | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 65 |
4 | Juventus | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Bologna | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 59 |
9 | AC Milan | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 54 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Como | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 41 |
13 | Genoa | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 33 |
15 | Parma | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 32 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Lecce | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 27 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Empoli | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Monza | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |