MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 15:36:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Genoa
2 - 0
Monza

De Winter (61'), Vasquez (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Caprari (20'), Kiriakopoulos (30'), Akpa-Akpro (43'), Bianco (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Monza

Genoa have kept six clean sheets in their last 11 league games, so an ailing Monza side may not break through the Rossoblu's back line. Depleted by injuries and low on confidence, the Brianzoli are set for another away defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawMonza
42.59% (0.578 0.58) 28.41% (0.365 0.37) 29% (-0.949 -0.95)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.432 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-1.587 -1.59)60.97% (1.58 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-1.204 -1.2)80.97% (1.2 1.2)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)28.34% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.562 -0.56)64.07% (0.557 0.56)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-1.604 -1.6)37.25% (1.597 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (-1.616 -1.62)74.03% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 42.59%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 28.39%
GenoaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 13.31% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.59%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.55% (0.603 0.6)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Genoa vs Monza

Genoa
78.3%
Draw
13.3%
Monza
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Monza
0-1
Genoa

Izzo (40'), Mari (90+6')
Pinamonti (45+7')
De Winter (59'), Malinovskyi (90+5'), Thorsby (90+2')
Mar 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Genoa
2-3
Monza
Gudmundsson (52'), Vitinha (68')
Sabelli (17')
Pessina (8'), Mota (18'), Maldini (79')
Djuric (44')
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Monza
1-0
Genoa
Mota (83')
Kiriakopoulos (65')

Vasquez (34'), Frendrup (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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