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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Parma logo

Genoa
1 - 0
Parma

Frendrup (65')
Badelj (4'), Kasa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valenti (7'), Hernani (36'), Pecchia (39'), Del Prato (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Parma
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawParma
41.81% (-0.101 -0.1)26.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)31.59% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.112 -0.11)53.55% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)75.06% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.102 -0.1)25.3% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.141 -0.14)60.07% (0.144 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)67.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 41.8%
    Parma 31.59%
    Draw 26.6%
GenoaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.59%

How you voted: Genoa vs Parma

Genoa
69.0%
Draw
31.0%
Parma
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Parma
0-1
Genoa

Keita (36'), Haj Mohamed (41')
Pinamonti (80')
Leali (27'), Zanoli (54'), Ekhator (60'), Vasquez (82'), Balotelli (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-0
Genoa
Benedyczak (32'), Vazquez (53' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
3-3
Parma
Frendrup (16'), Hefti (42'), Coda (51' pen.)
Badelj (27'), Gudmundsson (40'), Bani (63')
Gudmundsson (90+2')
Inglese (21'), Mihaila (37'), Estevez (89')
Vazquez (23'), Juric (45'), Coulibaly (53'), Circati (90+4')
Mar 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Parma
1-2
Genoa
Pelle (16')
Bani (19'), Pezzella (57'), Pelle (72'), Brugman (78'), Kucka (90+5')
Scamacca (50', 69')
Ballardini (58'), Radovanovic (73'), Biraschi (84')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Genoa
1-2
Parma
Shomurodov (50')
Badelj (77'), Bani (84')
Gervinho (10', 47')
Busi (58'), Karamoh (67')
> Preview