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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Vogliacco (22'), Zanoli (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Although Genoa have shown signs of improvement, they still lack options across the final third, meaning Milan can continue their trend of keeping Serie A clean sheets at San Siro. The hosts are not all singing from the same hymn sheet - and their coach is apparently treading on thin ice - but they possess enough nous to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
75.03% (0.262 0.26) 15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.19% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.856 -0.86)38.76% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)61.07% (0.911 0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.149 -0.15)8.76% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.91% (-0.36500000000001 -0.37)30.09% (0.367 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-1.129 -1.13)48.29% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.833 -0.83)83.44% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 75%
    Genoa 9.19%
    Draw 15.78%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.335 0.33)
3-0 @ 10.17% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.02% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.19%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
84.1%
Draw
11.6%
Genoa
4.3%
69
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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