Milan logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Red Star Belgrade

AC Milan
2 - 1
Red Star

Leao (42'), Abraham (87')
Musah (32'), Hernandez (45'), Tomori (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Radonjic (67')
Milojevic (0'), Krunic (33'), Djiga (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 5-1 Stuttgart
Wednesday, November 27 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
58.11% (0.041999999999994 0.04)20.62% (0.093 0.09)21.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 61.96% (-0.577 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (-0.654 -0.65)35.15% (0.653 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (-0.731 -0.73)57.15% (0.731 0.73)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)11.97% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.416 -0.42)37.38% (0.415 0.41)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.5 -0.5)29.61% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.609 -0.61)65.64% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 58.11%
    Red Star Belgrade 21.27%
    Draw 20.62%
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.11%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 21.27%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Red Star

AC Milan
84.3%
Draw
9.6%
Red Star Belgrade
6.1%
198
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2021 8pm
Round of 32
AC Milan
1-1
Red Star
Kessie (9' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (63')
Fardou Ben (24')
Gobeljic (8'), Srnic (45')
Gobeljic (70')
Feb 18, 2021 5.55pm
Round of 32
Red Star
2-2
AC Milan
Kanga (52' pen.), Pavkov (90+3')
Milunovic (54'), Rodic (57')
Rodic (77')
Pankov (42' og.), Hernandez (61' pen.)
Romagnoli (51'), Mandzukic (71'), Donnarumma (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!