Red Star

5 - 1

Stuttgart

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 1-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.