Real Madrid

1 - 3

AC Milan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.