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La Liga

Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Correa (90+6')
Le Normand (63'), Gallagher (70'), Alvarez (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Militao (64')
Modric (40')

The Match

Match Report

Angel Correa registers a last-gasp leveller as Atletico Madrid draw 1-1 with Real Madrid in Sunday night's Madrid derby in La Liga.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Atletico Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Alaves
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
37.88% (-0.125 -0.13)25.59% (-0.093 -0.09)36.53% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.338 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.428 0.43)48.34% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.389 0.39)70.48% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (0.128 0.13)25.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (0.175 0.17)59.68% (-0.175 -0.17)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.324 0.32)25.76% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.436 0.44)60.7% (-0.435 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 37.88%
    Real Madrid 36.53%
    Draw 25.58%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.88%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.53%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
20.6%
Draw
33.3%
Real Madrid
46.0%
339
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