Genoa

1 - 2

Napoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.