Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli0 - 1Lazio
We said: Napoli 2-1 Lazio
Only a weak away record has kept Lazio from matching Napoli's pace so far this season, and that may undermine their hopes of victory at Stadio Maradona, where the hosts can reclaim top spot. Whatever happens within 90 minutes, the two southern sides have scored the most goals during second-half stoppage time this season - four apiece - so a frantic finale could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
47.04% ( -1.06) | 25.71% ( 0.18) | 27.25% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
