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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 1
Napoli


Walukiewicz (39'), Holmgren Pedersen (41'), Coco (56'), Ricci (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Roma
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli

Torino and Napoli have both recorded four victories by a one-goal margin this season - only Lazio had more after 13 Serie A matches - so it could be a closely fought contest. As the away side are proving so difficult to beat - and Toro have slumped badly since the end of September - expect Conte and co to leave Turin with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
27.32% (0.296 0.3) 27.56% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 45.11% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)58.83% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)79.34% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (0.203 0.2)37.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.201 0.2)74.21% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)26.01% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.297 -0.3)61.03% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Torino 27.32%
    Napoli 45.11%
    Draw 27.56%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
17.7%
Draw
11.4%
Napoli
70.9%
79
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Kvaratskhelia (61')
Osimhen (36'), Jesus (39')
Sanabria (64')
Zapata (31'), Buongiorno (45+3')
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 19
Torino
3-0
Napoli
Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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