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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Kasa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-0 Lecce
Monday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-0 Genoa

Neither side are renowned for their goalscoring prowess, so it could be a low-scoring - or even no-scoring - contest at Stadio Via del Mare. While Genoa have a good record on the road, Lecce are much tougher to beat on home turf and can hold out for a valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
38.06% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 27.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 34.68% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.99% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06)76.66% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.107 0.11)66.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.05%
    Genoa 34.68%
    Draw 27.26%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
36.4%
Draw
37.5%
Genoa
26.1%
88
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Retegui (70'), Ekuban (76')
Gilardino (71')
Krstovic (31')
Krstovic (57'), Ramadani (90+5')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lecce
1-0
Genoa
Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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