Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Monza

Morente (3'), Krstovic (44')
Rafia (28'), Giampaolo (30')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dorgu (37' og.)
Kiriakopoulos (20'), Izzo (40'), Bianco (43'), Maldini (83'), Pereira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 4-1 Lecce
Saturday, December 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Monza
35.86% ( 2.49)	26.67% ( 0.75)	37.48% ( -3.24)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-2.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.98% (

-2.82)

53.01% (

2.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

-2.45)

74.61% (

2.46)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

0.17)

28.38% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

0.22)

64.12% (

-0.21)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

-3.06)

27.42% (

3.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

-4.14)

62.89% (

4.15)

Score Analysis

Lecce 35.86%

Monza 37.47%

Draw 26.66%

Lecce	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.56) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.47%