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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Empoli logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli

Pierotti (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegri (33')
Cacace (45+1'), Pellegri (52'), Henderson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Empoli

Lecce's only loss from five previous top-flight home games against Empoli came back in 2006, and they should continue that trend on Friday evening - providing they can convert their chances. While the Azzurri's defence has stood firm this season, they may be tempted to press forward against ailing opponents, and their hosts have the potential to counter-attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
38.68% (0.411 0.41) 27.89% (0.367 0.37) 33.42% (-0.776 -0.78)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-1.471 -1.47)58.04% (1.474 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-1.171 -1.17)78.72% (1.173 1.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.473 -0.47)29.13% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)65.05% (0.589 0.59)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-1.268 -1.27)32.44% (1.268 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-1.451 -1.45)68.96% (1.452 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.68%
    Empoli 33.42%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 38.68%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.517 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.42%

How you voted: Lecce vs Empoli

Lecce
33.9%
Draw
26.3%
Empoli
39.8%
118
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Empoli
Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')

Gyasi (90')
Dec 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Empoli
1-1
Lecce
Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')
Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Empoli
1-0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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