Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
