Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
