Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Monza |
| 45.09% ( | 26.66% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% ( | 55.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% ( | 76.33% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( | 24.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( | 58.73% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( | 34.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( | 71.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.26% |