Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Monza | 
| 45.09% (  0.75) | 26.66% (  0.04) | 28.26% (  -0.79) | 
| Both teams to score 49.45% (  -0.59) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.93% (  -0.54) | 55.07% (  0.54) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.67% (  -0.45) | 76.33% (  0.45) | 
| Como Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.67% (  0.13) | 24.34% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% (  0.19) | 58.73% (  -0.18) | 
| Monza Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.35% (  -0.9) | 34.65% (  0.9) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% (  -0.96) | 71.38% (  0.97) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Como | Draw | Monza | 
| 1-0 @ 11.91% (  0.29) 2-1 @ 8.93% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 8.42% (  0.24) 3-1 @ 4.2% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% (  0.13) 3-2 @ 2.23% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% (  0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.63% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% (  0.18) 2-2 @ 4.73% (  -0.1) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.94% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.69% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.74% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% (  -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.67% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.26% |