Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 0
Monza

Samardzic (70'), Zappacosta (88')
Djimsiti (54'), Kolasinac (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maldini (77'), Caldirola (82'), Valoti (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Monza
71.12% ( 1.07)	18% ( -0.37)	10.88% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

-0.22)

43.94% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

-0.22)

66.33% (

0.22)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

0.22)

11.06% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.59% (

0.48)

35.41% (

-0.48)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.64% (

-1.41)

48.35% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.51% (

-1.04)

83.49% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.11%

Monza 10.88%

Draw 18%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.11%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.67% Total : 18%	0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.88%