Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma2 - 1Monza
We said: Parma 2-1 Monza
Monza's need for maximum points is greater, but Parma have the more potent attack and can surely outscore one of the few teams below them in the standings. A 'new-manager bounce' cannot be ruled out - particularly as Parma often leave themselves wide open - but the visitors might head back home empty-handed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Parma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Parma.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Monza |
38.91% ( -0.03) | 25.25% ( 0.09) | 35.85% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
