Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Como

De Silvestri (25'), Fabbian (66')
Lykogiannis (28'), Ndoye (47'), Freuler (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perrone (9'), Fadera (38'), Caqueret (45'), Diao (65')
Fadera (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Bologna
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, January 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Como had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Como
53.54% ( 0.03)	24.58% ( -0.03)	21.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.07% (

0.09)

51.93% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.32% (

0.08)

73.68% (

-0.08)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

0.05)

19.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

0.08)

51.12% (

-0.08)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.47% (

0.05)

38.53% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72% (

0.04)

75.28% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Bologna 53.53%

Como 21.88%

Draw 24.58%

Bologna	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.53%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.88%