We said: Bologna 1-0 Como
Hard-to-beat Bologna will welcome one of Serie A's least effective away sides to Emilia-Romagna, so they should still prevail in spite of any Champions League hangover.
In a multi-club fight for survival, Como's undoing could be failing to pick up more points on the road - and this represents one of their toughest assignments.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Como had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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