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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 5
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-3)
Gyasi (27' og.), Retegui (33'), Lookman (43', 55'), Zappacosta (74')
Carnesecchi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Empoli
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-3 Brugge
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
16.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)23.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)76.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)81.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 16.69%
    Atalanta BC 59.58%
    Draw 23.72%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16.69%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 14.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 6.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 2.95% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-5 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.58%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
14.5%
Draw
7.3%
Atalanta BC
78.2%
55
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