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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Empoli

Martinez (55'), Dumfries (79'), Thuram (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esposito (83')
(63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-3 Lecce
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawEmpoli
72.93% (0.18300000000001 0.18)17.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)10.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (0.105 0.11)41.9% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (0.104 0.1)64.3% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.95% (0.072999999999993 0.07)10.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.86% (0.167 0.17)33.14% (-0.164 -0.16)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (-0.123 -0.12)48.62% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)83.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 72.91%
    Empoli 10.05%
    Draw 17.02%
Inter MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.09% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.61% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.91%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 10.05%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Empoli

Inter Milan
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
0.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Cacace (38')
Goglichidze (31')
Frattesi (50', 67'), Martinez (79')
Bastoni (62')
Apr 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
2-0
Empoli
Dimarco (5'), Sanchez (81')

Cambiaghi (65'), Cacace (89')
Sep 24, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 5
Empoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm