Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 72.93% ( | 17.02% ( | 10.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( | 10.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.86% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( | 48.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( | 83.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 3-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 5-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 6-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 72.91% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 2-2 @ 3.35% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.52% ( 1-2 @ 2.92% ( 0-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 10.05% |