Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 13.12% (  -0.05) | 18.89% (  -0.02) | 67.99% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 50.15% (  -0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.84% (  -0) | 42.16% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.44% (  -0) | 64.56% (  -0) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.59% (  -0.08) | 43.41% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.37% (  -0.06) | 79.63% (  0.06) | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.61% (  0.01) | 11.39% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.87% (  0.04) | 36.13% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 1-0 @ 4.13% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.74% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.72% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.04% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.12% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 4.06% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 18.89% | 0-2 @ 11.66% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.74% (  -0) 0-3 @ 8.45% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 7.05% (  0) 0-4 @ 4.59% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 3.83% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.94% (  -0) 0-5 @ 1.99% (  0.01) 1-5 @ 1.66% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.6% (  -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 67.98% |