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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Inter logo

Cagliari
0 - 3
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bastoni (53'), Martinez (71'), Calhanoglu (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Como
Monday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawInter Milan
13.12% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)18.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.99% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)43.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)79.63% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)11.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)36.13% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 13.12%
    Inter Milan 67.98%
    Draw 18.89%
CagliariDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 13.12%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94%
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 18.89%
0-2 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 67.98%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Cagliari
11.8%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Milan
80.0%
85
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-2
Cagliari
Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Inter Milan

Luvumbo (83')
Dumfries (21'), Martinez (30')
Mkhitaryan (81')
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-0
Cagliari
Darmian (77')
Brozovic (52')

Nainggolan (90+3')